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市场消息 2019年4月30日

内华达州房地产市场更新

以下是Windermere real estate首席经济学家Matthew Gardner对拉斯维加斯房地产市场的分析。 悦博体育希望这些信息能对你有所帮助  做出更明智的房地产决策。 有关您所在地区房地产市场的更多信息,请不要犹豫与您的温德米尔代理联系。 

经济概述

拉斯维加斯大都市区的就业增长依然强劲。 在过去的12个月里,总共增加了28,000个新工作岗位,年增长率为2.8%。 相比之下,美国整体经济增长率约为1.7%,不到拉斯维加斯的一半。

随着劳动力市场的扩张,失业率继续呈下降趋势。 经季节调整后的失业率为4.2%,较上年同期下降了整整一个百分点,但仍高于全国平均水平。 正如我在前几份加德纳报告中提到的,这部分归因于劳动力的增长。

房屋销售

  • There were 6,798 home sales in the first quarter of 2019 — a drop of 14.6% compared to the same period a year ago and 9% lower than the final quarter of 2018. It is likely that this slowdown in sales is due to a combination of growing inventory levels that started last summer and rising interest rates. However, mortgage rates dropped significantly in the first two months of this year, so I expect home sales to pick back up in the second quarter.
  • Pending sales dropped 2.9% versus the same period a year ago and were down 26.4% compared to the final quarter of 2018. This suggests that closings in the second quarter of 2019 will likely disappoint.
  • Sales dropped across the board, 与 the most substantial dip occurring in the Spring Valley neighborhood. Double-digit contractions in sales were seen in all areas other than the Centennial and Downtown neighborhoods.
  • The Las Vegas housing market continues to move toward balance. I maintain my position that there is no cause for panic, but more choice will lead to a temporary slowing in sales as buyers take their time when choosing a new home.

房价

  • Home prices in the area rose by 6.7% compared to the first quarter of 2018 to an average of $310,890, and were 1.2% higher than the fourth quarter of 2018.
  • The increase in Las Vegas home prices is moderating, but the area is still performing better than the country as a whole. Demand is likely to grow as we enter the spring market and I anticipate home prices will continue to rise in 2019.
  • Prices in all sub-markets other than Queens Ridge rose when compared to the same quarter last year. The strongest growth was in The Lakes/Section 10 sub-market, where prices were up by 14.4%. Five additional sub-markets saw double-digit price growth.
  • Economic growth is leading to rising incomes and this, in concert 与 attractive mortgage rates, will allow homes to continue to appreciate in value.

上市天数

  • The average time it took to sell a home in the region rose nine days compared to the first quarter of 2018.
  • Region-wide, it took an average of 47 days to sell a home in the first quarter of 2019.
  • Days-on-market rose in all but one sub-market compared to a year ago.
  • The only market where the length of market time dropped was in the Aliante neighborhood, which saw a significant decrease from 64 to 51 days. The greatest increase in market time was in Queens Ridge, which rose by 20 days.

结论

速度计反映了该地区房地产市场的状况,包括住房库存、价格涨幅、房屋销售、利率和更大的经济因素。

克拉克县的就业增长依然强劲,这导致了有形收入的增长,这可以抵消不断上涨的房价。 抵押贷款利率在早春下降,我预计随着悦博体育进入传统的活跃春季,交易速度会上升。 我仍然相信拉斯维加斯市场将是2019年美国西部房价增长最好的地区之一。

作为Windermere Real Estate的首席经济学家,Matthew Gardner负责分析和解释经济数据及其对地方和全国房地产市场的影响。 Matthew在美国和英国拥有超过30年的专业经验

除了日常工作之外,马修还是华盛顿州州长经济顾问委员会的成员; 华盛顿大学华盛顿房地产研究中心董事会主席; 他是华盛顿大学伦斯塔德房地产研究中心的顾问委员会成员,并在那里讲授房地产经济学。

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