以下是Windermere房地产公司首席经济学家马修·加德纳对华盛顿东部房地产市场的分析。 We hope that this information may assist you 与 making better-informed real estate decisions. 有关您所在地区房地产市场的更多信息，请不要犹豫与您的温德米尔代理联系。

经济概述

华盛顿州的就业年增长率放缓至1.7%，这是自2012年以来从未见过的水平，并延续了自2018年夏季开始的放缓趋势。 在过去的12个月里，该州增加了56100个新工作岗位。 与上月相比，该州所有大都市地区的就业人数要么减少，要么保持在现有水平。 这有点不寻常，可能是由于州政府重新对其数据进行基准测试。 因此，我并不过分担心这些数字，但会关注这一趋势是否会在春季继续下去。

该州的失业率为4.5%，略低于一年前的4.6%。 我最新的经济预测表明，2019年全州的就业增长将是积极的，但预计会放缓。 悦博体育应该会看到额外的84,000个新工作岗位，同比增长2.2%。

在过去的12个月里，华盛顿东部增加了令人印象深刻的20,640个工作岗位，年增长率为4.6%。 Even 与 this significant amount of job formation, however, the unemployment rate rose to 6.8%. This is simply a function of a growing labor force, which rose by over 22,000 year-over-year, and not something to be concerned about.

房屋销售

• Home sales throughout Eastern Washington slowed further in the first quarter of the year, 与 total sales down 17.3% over the same quarter in 2018 to 2,131 units.
• Pending home sales were also lower, 与 the number of homes going under contract down 11% compared to the final quarter of 2018. This suggests that second-quarter closings may also be lower.
• Year-over-year, home sales fell in all counties, 与 the greatest drops in Whitman and Walla Walla counties.
• Interestingly, the number of homes for sale was 9.5% lower than a year ago. This may be due to the inclement weather early in the quarter. I will be watching to see if this is a persistent trend or whether we will see a pick up in the number of homes for sale as we move into the spring. I think the latter is more likely.

房价

• Year-over-year, the average home price in Eastern Washington rose by a significant 8.5% to $271,427. Price growth started to slow in the third quarter but remains remarkably robust.
• Low inventory levels remain the most significant hurdle to many home buyers. I had expected more homes to come on the market in the early spring months, but that was not the case. Notably, the average number of listings is 9.5% lower than the same period a year ago.
• Prices rose in four of the seven counties contained in this report, 与 modest drops in three. Franklin County took over the number one spot, 与 an annual price increase of 26%.
• The takeaway is that average home-price growth in Eastern Washington remains well above the long-term average.

上市天数

• The average time it took to sell a home in Eastern Washington in the first quarter of 2019 was 68 days.
• Days on market dropped by ten days compared to the first quarter of 2018.
• Every county other than Franklin (+8 days) and Benton (+10 days) saw the time it took to sell a home drop compared to the same quarter in 2018.
• It took five more days to sell a home in the first quarter than it did in the fourth quarter of last year, but this is not significant.

结论

这个速度计反映了该地区房地产市场的状态，使用住房库存、价格涨幅、房屋销售、利率和更大的经济因素。

The number of homes for sale is still well below normal levels, causing housing markets throughout Eastern Washington to remain very tight. That said, home sales were down, and I believe affordability issues may be forming. It is likely that we will eventually see home price growth start to move back to the long-term average. As such, I am leaving the needle in the same position as last quarter.

作为Windermere Real Estate的首席经济学家，Matthew Gardner负责分析和解释经济数据及其对地方和全国房地产市场的影响。 Matthew在美国和英国拥有超过30年的专业经验

除了日常工作之外，马修还是华盛顿州州长经济顾问委员会的成员； 华盛顿大学华盛顿房地产研究中心董事会主席； 他是华盛顿大学伦斯塔德房地产研究中心的顾问委员会成员，并在那里讲授房地产经济学。