以下是Windermere real estate首席经济学家马修·加德纳对华盛顿中部房地产市场的分析。 悦博体育希望这些信息能对你有所帮助 与 做出更明智的房地产决策。 有关您所在地区房地产市场的更多信息，请不要犹豫与您的温德米尔代理联系。

经济概述

华盛顿州的就业年增长率放缓至1.7%，这是自2012年以来从未见过的水平，并延续了自2018年夏季开始的放缓趋势。 在过去的12个月里，该州增加了56100个新工作岗位。 与上月相比，该州所有大都市地区的就业人数要么减少，要么保持在现有水平。 这有点不寻常，可能是由于州政府重新对其数据进行基准测试。 因此，我并不过分担心这些数字，但会关注这一趋势是否会在春季继续下去。

该州的失业率为4.5%，略低于一年前的4.6%。 On a seasonally adjusted basis, the counties 与in Central Washington added 6,439 new jobs over the past 12 months, representing a solid growth rate of 2.8%. The local unemployment rate rose when compared to a year ago, from 6% to 6.7%, but this is a result of increases in the labor force.

房屋销售

• In the first quarter of 2019, home sales throughout Central Washington fell by 13.7%, 与 a total of 755 homes sold, and were 44.6% lower than the fourth quarter of 2018.
• Sales rose in Okanogan County, which saw an increase of 5.3% over the first quarter of 2018. Yakima and Chelan counties saw sales activity slow the most.
• The number of pending home sales — an indicator of future closings — was down 22% compared to the fourth quarter, indicating that closings will likely drop further in the second quarter of 2019.
• Listing activity was a mixed bag when compared to a year ago, 与 significant increases in Kittitas and Chelan counties but declines in the balance of the region. That said, I expect stronger sales as we move through the spring because the drop in interest rates will get buyers off the fence.

房价

• Year-over-year, the average home price in the region rose 6.4% to $310,386. Price growth has been trending well above the long-term average, but the data suggests we are starting to see some softening in the market. It is likely that price growth will continue to cool — but not turn negative — as we move through 2019.
• Although prices declined in Okanogan, Chelan, and Douglas counties, I am not particularly worried as these are all relatively small markets where prices can see major swings.
• Prices rose in Kittitas and Yakima counties but fell in the rest of the region compared to the first quarter of 2018. Regionwide, home prices were down 6.5% compared to the final quarter of 2018.
• In aggregate, home-price growth has slowed, but the winter months can be inconsistent. I would not be surprised to see a jump in prices in the second quarter as the weather improves and interest rates remain low.

上市天数

• The average number of days it took to sell a home in Central Washington rose three days compared to the first quarter of 2018.
• The average time it took to sell a home in the region was 82 days, up 11 days when compared to the fourth quarter of 2018.
• Two markets contained in this report — Okanogan and Yakima — saw days-on-market drop from the same quarter in 2018. The balance of the region took slightly longer to sell a home.
• Homes sold fastest in Chelan County, where it took an average of 68 days to sell a home. The greatest drop in the time it took to sell a home was in Yakima County, where it took 13 fewer days than in the first quarter of 2018.

结论

这个速度计反映了该地区房地产市场的状态，使用住房库存、价格涨幅、房屋销售、利率和更大的经济因素。

For the first quarter of 2018, I have moved the needle a little more in favor of buyers. Inventory levels remain low, but I anticipate this will change. This, in concert 与 moderating price growth and very favorable interest rates, will continue to favor home buyers in the coming months.

作为Windermere Real Estate的首席经济学家，Matthew Gardner负责分析和解释经济数据及其对地方和全国房地产市场的影响。 Matthew在美国和英国拥有超过30年的专业经验

除了日常工作之外，马修还是华盛顿州州长经济顾问委员会的成员； 华盛顿大学华盛顿房地产研究中心董事会主席； 他是华盛顿大学伦斯塔德房地产研究中心的顾问委员会成员，并在那里讲授房地产经济学。