以下是Windermere房地产公司首席经济学家马修·加德纳对俄勒冈州和华盛顿州西南部房地产市场的分析。 悦博体育希望这些信息可以帮助您做出更明智的房地产决策。 有关您所在地区房地产市场的更多信息，请不要犹豫与您的温德米尔代理联系。 

经济概述

俄勒冈州在过去的12个月里增加了30900个新工作岗位，年增长率为1.6%。 就业增长的步伐继续放缓，但仍然是积极的，我预计这一趋势将在2020年继续下去。

过去12个月，华盛顿西南部市场（克拉克、考利茨、斯卡马尼亚和克利基塔特县）新增了3180个就业岗位，年增长率为1.4%。

俄勒冈州11月份的失业率为3.9%，低于一年前的4.3%。 在华盛顿州西南部，失业率为5%，高于一年前的4.8%。

房屋销售

• Fourth quarter home sales rose 6.5% compared to the same period last year, with a total of 15,199 transactions occurring.
• Sales rose fastest in Hood River County, which saw a significant 63% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2018 (though it should be said that this was an increase in sales of only 29 units). There were also solid increases in Tillamook, Jefferson, and Columbia counties. Five other counties had double-digit increases in sales as well. Home sales fell the most in Wasco County but, as it a relatively small market, I am not overly concerned.
• Year-over-year sales rose in 18 counties and dropped in the other 8 counties contained in this report.
• Sales in the final quarter of 2019 dropped 15% compared to the third quarter of the year, suggesting that closings in the first quarter of 2020 will likely be lower.

房价

•  The average home price in the region rose 6% year-over-year to $400,714, but prices were 0.7% lower than in the third quarter of 2019.
• Jefferson County led the market with the strongest annual price growth. Homes there sold for 17.7% more than a year ago. The greatest drop in sale prices was in small Skamania County. As I have mentioned previously, smaller markets can be prone to significant swings and I am not overly concerned at this time.
• 所有 but three of the counties contained in this report experienced price growth compared to the final quarter of 2018. Although prices continue to appreciate, we are seeing some softening in many markets.
• The takeaway from this section is that price growth continues to moderate. Low mortgage rates will cause prices to continue rising, but more slowly than the past several years.

上市天数

• The average number of days it took to sell a home in the region rose 2 days compared to the fourth quarter of 2018 and was up 13 days compared to the third quarter of 2019.
• The average time it took to sell a home last quarter was 75 days.
• Eleven counties saw the length of time it took to sell a home drop compared to a year ago, 2 remained static, and 13 saw market time rise.
• Homes sold fastest in Washington (36 days) and Lane (40 days) counties.

结论

速度计反映了该地区房地产市场的状况，包括住房库存、价格涨幅、房屋销售、利率和更大的经济因素。

本季度房屋销售上升，这无疑是一个好迹象，表明该地区对住房的需求仍然很大。 库存水平仍然令人担忧，而且仍低于我希望看到的水平。 鉴于该州的经济活力，以及较低的抵押贷款利率，我预计随着悦博体育进入新的一年，会有更多的购房者开始寻找新房。

由于这些因素，我已经稍微偏向于房屋卖家。

关于马修·加德纳

作为Windermere Real Estate的首席经济学家，Matthew Gardner负责分析和解释经济数据及其对地方和全国房地产市场的影响。 Matthew在美国和英国拥有超过30年的专业经验

除了日常工作之外，马修还是华盛顿州州长经济顾问委员会的成员； 华盛顿大学华盛顿房地产研究中心董事会主席； 他是华盛顿大学伦斯塔德房地产研究中心的顾问委员会成员，并在那里讲授房地产经济学。