以下是Windermere房地产公司首席经济学家马修·加德纳对华盛顿东部房地产市场的分析。 We hope that this information may assist you 与 making better-informed real estate decisions. 有关您所在地区房地产市场的更多信息，请不要犹豫与您的温德米尔代理联系。

经济概述

华盛顿州的就业继续疲软； 目前的年增长率为1.7%。 我相信这是暂时的放缓，随着悦博体育进入新的一年，悦博体育将看到就业增长的步伐有所改善。 很明显，企业正在继续感受到与中国贸易战的影响，这正在影响招聘行为。 当然，这还不包括波音目前在737 MAX方面面临的问题。

我最近的经济预测显示，2020年全州就业增长将上升2.2%，总共创造76,300个新工作岗位。 The Eastern Washington market added 17,800 total jobs over the past 12 months, representing an annual growth rate of a very impressive 3.8%. That said, and even as the region added jobs, the unemployment rate rose to 5.2% from 4.9% a year ago. This does not worry me, though, as the county data is not seasonally adjusted, and the areas covered by this report tend to see unemployment rates rise during the winter months. Additionally, the labor force grew by almost 20,000 persons, which likely added to the unemployment rolls.

房屋销售

• Home sales throughout Eastern Washington were up 5.8% compared to the same quarter in 2018, 与 a total of 3,405 closed sales.
• Pending home sales in the region were 1.8% lower than a year ago and 41% lower than in the third quarter of 2019, suggesting that first-quarter closings will likely be lower.
• Sales activity dropped in Lincoln and Grant counties, but the total contraction amounted to only 21 fewer sales, so there is nothing to be concerned about.
• The average number of homes for sale in the quarter was 22.6% lower than a year ago, suggesting that the market remains very tight. I do not expect any significant increases in listing activity until the second half of 2020.

房价

• Year-over-year, the average home price in Eastern Washington rose by a significant 12.3% to $297,048. That said, prices were 2.2% lower than in the third quarter.
• As mentioned in the previous section, low inventory levels are pervasive and are likely the most significant hurdle to many home buyers. Low inventory continues to put upward pressure on prices.
• Prices rose in all of the counties contained in this report, 与 double-digit gains in all but two counties.
• The takeaway is that average home-price growth in Eastern Washington remains well above the long-term average.

上市天数

• The average time it took to sell a home in Eastern Washington in the final quarter of 2019 was 48 days.
• During the fourth quarter, it took 15 fewer days to sell a home in Eastern Washington than it did a year ago.
• Across the region the market was split: it took longer to sell homes in Whitman and Walla Walla counties but days on market dropped in the rest of the region.
• It took two days longer to sell a home in the fourth quarter than it did in the third quarter of 2019.

结论

这个速度计反映了该地区房地产市场的状态，使用住房库存、价格涨幅、房屋销售、利率和更大的经济因素。

房屋销售在上升，价格也在上涨，这当然有利于卖家。 抵押贷款利率仍然极具竞争力，这使得购房者可以用他们的钱买到更多的房子。 库存水平仍远低于我希望看到的水平，因此，华盛顿东部的住房市场仍然非常紧张。 因此，我只是稍微偏向于房屋卖家一点。

关于马修·加德纳

作为Windermere Real Estate的首席经济学家，Matthew Gardner负责分析和解释经济数据及其对地方和全国房地产市场的影响。 Matthew在美国和英国拥有超过30年的专业经验

除了日常工作之外，马修还是华盛顿州州长经济顾问委员会的成员； 华盛顿大学华盛顿房地产研究中心董事会主席； 他是华盛顿大学伦斯塔德房地产研究中心的顾问委员会成员，并在那里讲授房地产经济学。