以下是Windermere real estate首席经济学家Matthew Gardner对内华达州拉斯维加斯房地产市场的分析。 悦博体育希望这些信息能对你有所帮助 与 做出更明智的房地产决策。 有关您所在地区房地产市场的更多信息,请不要犹豫与您的温德米尔代理联系。
经济概述
拉斯维加斯大都市区的就业增长速度非常快。 在过去的12个月里,总共增加了32,300个新工作岗位,这悦博体育3.3%的年增长率非常强劲。 For perspective, the U.S. as a whole is growing at around 1.6%, or half the rate of Las Vegas.
尽管当地经济增加了就业机会,但失业率仍然高于人们的预期。 经季节调整后的失业率为4.9%,低于一年前的5.25%,但仍远高于全国失业率。 这可能是由于过去一年里,一直处于观望状态的人开始找工作,劳动力迅速增加,增加了3.4万多人。
房屋销售活动
- A total of 9,146 homes were sold in the third quarter of 2018 — a drop of 4.8% over the same period a year ago. 自今年年初以来,销售量的下降被归因于库存不足,但悦博体育现在正在经历待售房屋的大幅增加。 这给了买家更多的选择,减少了紧迫感。
- Pending sales dropped by 5% versus the same period a year ago and were down by 16% when compared to the second quarter of this year. 这表明,第四季度的交易不会非常强劲。
- Sales rose in three sub-markets compared to a year ago, 与 the Aliante market seeing solid growth (but bear in mind that this is a very small area and subject to volatility in sales). 惠特尼的销售额也有小幅增长,拉斯维加斯东北部的销售额也有小幅增长。 所有其他市场的销量都出现了下滑,其中最严重的是东南子市场。
- In a nutshell, Las Vegas is experiencing the same increase in listing activity as a majority of U.S. markets. 没有理由恐慌,但更多的选择确实会导致销售暂时放缓,因为买家会花时间选择新房。

房价
- Home prices in the area rose by 11.8% compared to the third quarter of 2017 — to an average of $304,182 — and were a modest 0.6% higher than in the second quarter of this year.
- The Las Vegas market continues to see home prices rise but I believe we will start to see a slowdown as affordability issues start to appear.
- Prices in all sub-markets rose compared to the same quarter last year. 增长最强劲的是拉斯维加斯东北部子市场,价格上涨了22.5%。 11个子市场的价格出现了两位数的增长。
- The takeaway is that home values are likely to continue to increase, but more choice — in concert 与 affordability constraints — will lead to a slowdown in the rate of price growth.

上市天数
- The average time it took to sell a home in the region dropped five days compared to the third quarter of 2017.
- Region-wide it took an average of only 27 days to sell a home in the third quarter of this year.
- Days on market fell in all but two of the sub-markets compared to a year ago. 例外是皇后岭地区(+4天)和绿谷地区(+1天)。
- 拉斯维加斯东北部的待售天数下降幅度最大,比2017年同期减少了10天。

结论

速度计反映了该地区房地产市场的状况,包括住房库存、价格涨幅、房屋销售、利率和更大的经济因素。
虽然克拉克县的就业增长仍然非常强劲,但这还没有反映在收入的任何重大增长上。 Home prices have been growing at some of the fastest rates in the U.S., which is affecting affordability. With the lack of real wage growth, and in concert 与 rising inventory levels, I believe that the market will start to trend toward more balance, but we have a ways to go. 正因为如此,我把速度表向买家移动了一点。

他是Windermere Real Estate的首席经济学家,专门从事 residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, 在美国和英国拥有超过30年的专业经验
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