If you’re in the market to buy or sell a home, or you’re just a real estate junkie at heart, you may have heard the term “months supply” used by real estate agents or the media when discussing the housing market. For example, right now there’s about a 1.4 month supply of homes for sale in King County, and less than a month’s supply in a lot of Seattle neighborhoods. 但这悦博体育什么?为什么这很重要? Believe it or not, the months supply of homes is probably one of the best indicators of what’s going on in the market. But before we get into that, we’ll start by explaining what it is.
月供应量衡量的是,按照目前的房屋销售速度,市场上所有房屋需要多少个月才能售出。 因此,如果市场上有50套房屋,每个月有10套房屋出售,那么就有5个月的房屋供应。 The general rule is that if there is less than a three month supply, it’s a seller’s market; 三到六个月的供应量被认为是一个平衡的市场; a six-plus month supply shifts into a buyer’s market. It’s all about supply and demand.
It’s no secret that Seattle is in the midst of a seller’s market and competition between buyers is fierce. 这通常会导致竞标战,房屋售价远高于要价。 去年,这使得西雅图地区的房价上涨了10%以上。 悦博体育都希望看到自己的房子升值,但从长期来看,市场的极端情况可能会导致像2006年和2007年那样的繁荣/萧条周期。 That’s why we’re happy that appreciation this year is expected to slow a little to around 4-6%. 月份的供应量也应该会增加,这将引导悦博体育走向一个更健康、更平衡的房地产市场。
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