新的一年即将到来，随之而来的是一个充满无限可能的新开始的机会。 As the saying goes, “out with the old, in with the new”. 从历史上看，1月被认为是一个非常有力的月份，可以据此对今年剩下的时间做出预测。 For example, there’s something called the “January Barometer” which suggests that the performance of the & P500 in January predicts its performance for the rest of the year. 显然，自1950年以来，这个指标的准确率达到了88.5%。 It’s hard to argue with that.

这让悦博体育开始思考自己对未来一年的预测。 We can’t guarantee an 88.5% ratio of accuracy, but this is how we see things today:

供求关系： The number of homes for sale has steadily declined over the past year, resulting in stiff competition amongst buyers – too much demand, not enough supply. 随着潜在的房屋卖家对市场获得信心，并决定跳出围栏，这一趋势应该会开始逆转。

不断上涨的价格: 房地产专业人士普遍认为，2013年房价将稳步上涨。 We’ve already seen the start of this trend locally in recent months, with reports of strong gains in many neighborhoods.

利率: Given that interest rates are already at all-time lows, it’s difficult to believe they will go any lower in 2013. 相反，当前的经济状况也使得利率在未来一年不太可能大幅上升。

投资者: 这部分购房者通常是市场正在好转的迹象。 去年，投资者数量激增，悦博体育预计这一趋势将在2013年继续。

陷入困境的性质: Much has been said about the “shadow inventory” that could flood the market and cause prices to sink again. While there is still a hefty supply of foreclosures, it’s highly unlikely banks will list them en masse. 市场需要房屋购买，而现在买家肯定比卖家多，因此不良库存实际上可能在楼市复苏中发挥重要作用。

悦博体育地区的表现继续优于大多数西海岸市场，以及整个美国。 确实存在的不利因素（主要表现为低库存水平）很可能是暂时的。 So, while it’s important to keep an eye on the past, our focus is firmly on the future – and we are seeing good things to come.